Florida A&M
W-L: ( 3- 8) PR = 87.5862Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 H Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 2- 3 220 A FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 0- 8 225 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 0-14 227 A Villanova BE ( 0-19, 88.0) 7- 0 228 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 2-21 323 A Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 3- 8 331 A Providence BE ( 0-11, 85.2) 10- 7 421 H Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 0- 9 505 H Arkansas-Pine Bluff SWAC ( 0- 6, 85.0) 4- 1 515 A Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 0-12 516 H Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 0- 6
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
210 H Marshall 2- 3 -1 -6 ++ 4.54
220 A FIU 0- 8 -8 -6 - -2.20
225 A Florida State 0-14 -14 -11 - -3.37
227 A Villanova 7- 0 7 -1 +++ 8.11
228 A UCF 2-21 -19 -9 -- -4.59
323 A Auburn 3- 8 -5 -8 + 2.91
331 A Providence 10- 7 3 2 1.39
421 H Troy 0- 9 -9 -4 -- -4.57
505 H Arkansas-Pine Bluff 4- 1 3 3 -0.34
515 A Florida 0-12 -12 -11 -1.15
516 H Texas State 0- 6 -6 -5 -0.72
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A UCF 2-21 -19 -9 -- -4.59 421 H Troy 0- 9 -9 -4 -- -4.57 220 A FIU 0- 8 -8 -6 - -2.20 225 A Florida State 0-14 -14 -11 - -3.37 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Villanova 7- 0 7 -1 +++ 8.11 210 H Marshall 2- 3 -1 -6 ++ 4.54 323 A Auburn 3- 8 -5 -8 + 2.91 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 2- 3 -6.03 13.34 -0.74 2.29 -7.76
3 A FIU (32-18, 92.6) 0- 8 -7.26 12.11 0.74 2.29 -7.46
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 0-14 -2.42 16.95 0.74 2.29 -1.93
3 A Villanova ( 0-19, 88.0) 7- 0 -11.95 7.42 0.74 2.29 37.41
3 A UCF (40-20, 96.2) 2-21 -3.65 15.72 0.74 2.29 -3.33
3 A Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 3- 8 -5.15 14.22 0.74 2.29 -5.05
3 A Providence ( 0-11, 85.2) 10- 7 -14.66 4.71 0.74 2.29 24.98
3 H Troy (31-20, 92.8) 0- 9 -7.14 12.23 -0.74 2.29 -9.03
3 H Arkansas-Pine ( 0- 6, 85.0) 4- 1 -14.91 4.46 -0.74 2.29 17.03
3 A Florida (51-13, 97.7) 0-12 -2.21 17.16 0.74 2.29 -1.68
3 H Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 0- 6 -6.29 13.08 -0.74 2.29 -8.06
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35.11
|
winning pts = 79.4186 losing points = -44.3061
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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